Commodity Market Report

North America Gas Short-Term Outlook November 2019: Winter is coming?

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20 November 2019

North America Gas Short-Term Outlook November 2019: Winter is coming?

Report summary

Milder weather has once again squashed a price rally, but it is still too early in the season to discount winter price risk. Even with about 0.5 tcf of a storage cushion year-over-year and still growing production levels, winter weather is still king and can draw down storage rapidly. Add to that growing LNG export levels, solid power demand and a risk of lower Canadian imports, and the price can rise even faster.

Table of contents

  • Although an early start to the winter rallied Henry Hub with hopes of recovering to $3.00/mmbtu, milder weather forecasted now into early December has squashed yet another brief rally down to $2.50/mmbtu. However, winter has just started, and it is way too early to discount winter price risk. We remain more bullish than the market, keeping our winter price outlook relatively unchanged.
  • Permian and Northeast gas prices eclipse $2.00/mmbtu with colder weather.

Tables and charts

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What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    North America Gas Short Term Outlook November 2019 Winter is coming.pdf

    PDF 808.60 KB

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 115.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 761.00 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 113.50 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 223.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 177.00 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 481.50 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 182.50 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 121.50 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 161.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 319.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xlsx

    XLSX 232.01 KB

  • Document

    North America Gas Short-Term Outlook November 2019: Winter is coming

    ZIP 2.44 MB

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