Commodity market report

United States gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013

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Report summary

The cold start to this heating season boosted Henry Hub prices as high as $4.40/mmbtu and the NYMEX strip is trading above $4.00/mmbtu for the first time since last spring. Despite the rally however prices aren t likely climb further in the next two years; the major themes defining North American gas markets have not changed heading into 2014.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Demand Breakout Fall 2013.xls

    XLS 2.72 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Infrastructure and Storage Fall 2013.xls

    XLS 250.00 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Supply and Demand Fall 2013.xls

    XLS 1.87 MB

  • Document

    United States gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013

    PDF 6.32 MB

  • Document

    United States gas markets long-term outlook H2 2013

    ZIP 12.75 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV Price Outlook Fall 2013.xls

    XLS 878.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTV New Industrial Capacity Fall 2013.xls

    XLS 1.21 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 264.97 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 444.75 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 643.54 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 4.03 MB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 578.38 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Supply
  • Demand
  • Infrastructure
  • Trade

Tables and charts

This report includes 56 images and tables including:

Images

  • Chart 1. Demand growth relative to 2013
  • Chart 2. US supply by type and Marcellus/Utica percentage
  • Chart 3. Gas price outlook
  • Chart 6. Global gas price outlook
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Figure 6. Northeast expansions
  • Chart 28. Northeast basis outlook
  • Chart 29. New York vs. New England basis
  • Infrastructure: Image 7
  • Figure 7. 2013 flows along major corridors (mmcfd)
  • Figure 8. Change in flows from 2013 to 2018 (mmcfd)
  • Figure 9. Change in flows from 2013 to 2023 (mmcfd)
  • Infrastructure: Image 11
  • Chart 31. Southeast basis outlook
  • Infrastructure: Image 13
  • Chart 33. Mid-Continent basis outlook
  • Chart 34. Midwest basis outlook
  • Infrastructure: Image 16
  • Trade: Image 3
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Chart 8. Haynesville well locations and production by sub-area
  • Supply: Image 4
  • Supply: Image 5
  • Supply: Image 6
  • Supply: Image 7
  • Supply: Image 8
  • Supply: Image 9
  • Chart 13. Onshore US Upstream cost outlook
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 7
  • Chart 21. Gas demand growth (vs. 2013)
  • Demand: Image 9
  • Chart 22. Capacity utilization rates
  • Demand: Image 11
  • Demand: Image 12
  • Chart 23 Transport Demand
  • Chart 24. Pipeline flow forecast to and from the US
  • Chart 25. Growth of piped exports to Mexico
  • Trade: Image 4
  • Chart 27. Proposed North American LNG export capacity
  • Table 4. Proposed US supply projects with earliest expected start dates on or before 2019
  • Trade: Image 7

Tables

  • Table 1. Long term forecast of key data
  • Table 2. Key US plays supply metrics
  • Table 6. Northeast expansions by year
  • Table 3. FERC timeline of US LNG export projects (application and estimated earliest award dates)

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