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Winter risks to Asian LNG and European gas - cold temperatures and Ukraine transit disruption

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20 October 2014

Winter risks to Asian LNG and European gas - cold temperatures and Ukraine transit disruption

Report summary

Following the publication of our winter 2014/15 outlook for gas balances and spot prices in the Asia Pacific LNG and NW European gas markets, we address the upside price risks of cold winter temperatures and a disruption of Russian supply to Europe through Ukraine. 

Table of contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Introduction
    • Impact of a cold Asian winter on the Pacific
    • Impact of cold Asian winter and cold European winter on Europe
    • Impact on South and East Europe and Ukraine
    • Implications for NW Europe
  • Combination of Russian import disruption and cold winter temperatures
  • Conclusions

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

  • Chart 2 - Russian flows balance - Ukraine transit disruption
  • Chart 4 - NW Europe Storage Utilisation and Russian requirement under the cold Europe and Asia sensitivities
  • Chart 5 - NW Europe Storage Utilisation under the Russia-Ukraine transit disruption, cold Europe and Asia sensitivities
  • Chart 1 - Pacific LNG year-on-year change
  • Winter risks to Asian LNG and European gas - cold temperatures and Ukraine transit disruption: Table 1
  • Chart 3 - Europe gas market impact* by region
  • Europe - regional definitions

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Winter risks to Asian LNG and European gas - cold temperatures and Ukraine transit disruption

    PDF 564.37 KB