China economic focus July 2021: slowing growth ahead

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China’s economy will slow from the second half of 2021. Slower export growth, rising commodity prices, lacklustre infrastructure investment and expiring subsidies will all drag on GDP growth. Reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut will ease credit risk. But it won’t be enough to stimulate activity in manufacturing sectors suffering a squeeze on margins and cash flow amid rising costs. Commodity demand across energy and metals sector will also slow. The pace of deceleration will differ by commodity. However, supply constraints and demand recovery outside China will continue to support global commodity prices.

Table of contents

  • Highlights
  • Why will China slow down?
  • What is the impact on the commodity market?
  • Key charts

Tables and charts

This report includes 13 images and tables including:

  • China's exports by category
  • Exports of key manufacturing countries
  • Price index by sector, H1 2021
  • Issuance of local government special purpose bonds
  • Wood Mackenzie's proprietary China data
  • Manufacturing PMI
  • IP and retail sales
  • Money supply (M2)
  • Required reserve ratio
  • Trade
  • Inflation
  • Property
  • Investment

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    China economic focus July 2021: slowing growth ahead

    PDF 920.68 KB