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9 Pages

Economic focus: five implications of Brexit


Economic focus: five implications of Brexit

Report summary

Uncertainty surrounds Brexit, damaging business and consumer confidence and causing financial market volatility. In this Economic Focus we look at our key implications of the UK's vote to leave the EU. Little is certain at this point, including whether the Brexit will actually take place. We expect uncertainty to push the UK into recession by the end of the year, and European growth to slow by a lesser degree. But the long term economic impact will remain unclear until we know about how Brexit negotiations unfold.

What's included?

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  • Economic focus: five implications of Brexit PDF - 766.10 KB 9 Pages, 0 Tables, 22 Figures

Description

This Macroeconomics and Global Trends Insight report presents our research on this key topic, and draws out the implications for economies and commodity markets.

This report delivers a clear understanding of our unique global economic outlook and identify risks and uncertainties to watch out for.

Wood Mackenzie's global trends and macroeconomic analysis underpins all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the pace of global development and the risks associated with it.

  • 1. The vote was close, highlighting a divided UK
  • 2. When will the UK leave the EU?
  • 3. What are the implications of Brexit for the UK economy?
  • 4. What are the implications of Brexit for the EU?
  • 5. Why has the financial market backlash been significant outside the EU?
  • Conclusion
  • Economic indicators

In this report there are 22 tables or charts, including:

  • 1. The vote was close, highlighting a divided UK
  • 2. When will the UK leave the EU?
  • 3. What are the implications of Brexit for the UK economy?
    • UK real GDP: latest forecast vs previous
    • UK trade position
  • 4. What are the implications of Brexit for the EU?
    • EU exports to the UK
    • EU exports to the UK as % of GDP
  • 5. Why has the financial market backlash been significant outside the EU?
    • Trade-weighted currency indices (May 1 = 100)
    • Global markets rebounding from Brexit losses
  • Conclusion
  • Economic indicators
    • USA purchasing managers' indices
    • Eurozone purchasing managers' indices
    • Japan purchasing managers' indices
    • China purchasing managers' indices
    • Industrial production - developed economies
    • Industrial production - emerging markets
    • Consumer sentiment index
    • Consumer sentiment index
    • 10-year government bond yields (%)
    • 10-year government bond yields (%)
    • Consumer price index (annual % change)
    • Consumer price index (annual % change)
    • Exchange rate indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 =100)
    • Exchange rate indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
    • Oil and gas prices
    • Copper and freight prices
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