Insight

EMEARC economic outlook H1 2018: full steam ahead or running out of steam?

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

In this Insight we assess the economic outlook for economies in the EMEARC region to 2040. Europe is on a good run of economic growth hitting a 10-year high in 2017. Momentum is carried into 2018 but the question is: how long can this expansion continue? Oil producing economies are buoyed by oil prices recovering to $70/bbl. But governments must continue to focus on diversification if longer-term growth is to decouple from the fate of oil markets. What impact will demographics, automation and inequality have on European growth over the longer term? 

Table of contents

  • In time added on?
  • Automatic for the people: challenges for long-term growth
  • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

  • Real GDP growth annual
  • Germany's economic cycles peak-to-peak
  • Oil price in local currencies
  • Government fiscal breakevens
  • EU28 demographics
  • Real GDP growth by region (annual)
  • France household income growth
  • Household income: mean-median spread
  • Germany economic outlook
  • South Africa economic outlook

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    GDP Forecast Q1 2018.xls

    XLS 1.44 MB

  • Document

    EMEARC economic outlook H1 2018: full steam ahead or running out of steam?

    PDF 321.27 KB