Commodity market report
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3 Pages

Hainan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Hainan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014

Report summary

Hainan is an island province with a strong focus in the agricultural and tourism sectors. Hainan has increased its global presence in recent years by holding the annual Boao Forum for Asia. Looking forward, we forecast Hainan’s real GDP to enjoy a CAGR of 7.1% through the next two decades, supported by capital inflows, government policies and favourable demographics.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Hainan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 285.35 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
  • China Provincial GDP Population Urbanisation Mar 2014.xls XLS - 659.00 KB


This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.

Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.

The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.

Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.

Wood Mackenzie's macroeconomic forecasts underpin all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

  • Executive summary
  • Market structure
  • Economic outlook

In this report there are 5 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
    • Economic Indicators
  • Market structure
    • GDP by sector (% of GDP), 2012
    • Population – Rural / Urban Split (millions)
  • Economic outlook
    • Real GDP Growth and Level Forecast
    • Urbanisation and GDP per Capita (RMB 2005 prices)
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