Hainan is an island province with a strong focus in the agricultural and tourism sectors. Hainan has increased its global presence in recent years by holding the annual Boao Forum for Asia. Looking forward, we forecast Hainan’s real GDP to enjoy a CAGR of 7.1% through the next two decades, supported by capital inflows, government policies and favourable demographics.
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Hainan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014 PDF - 285.35 KB 3 Pages, 1 Tables, 4 Figures
China Provincial GDP Population Urbanisation Mar 2014.xls XLS - 659.00 KB
This Economic Outlook presents our macroeconomic outlook to 2035 at the country level.
Specifically we assess the structure of the economy and present the GDP and industrial production outlook.
The long-term outlook is underpinned by a set of GDP models which take account of long-term structural drivers of GDP including demographics, investment and productivity growth.
Finally, we highlight the key risks facing our outlook, both upside and downside.
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Commodity market report | May 2014
Hainan long-term economic outlook Q1 2014
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