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Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update

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Report summary

Wood Mackenzie's alumina price forecast are projected to be modestly higher than the calculated incentive price of $360/t (2015 US$) in the period 2016 2020 before rising sharply in the early 2020s. Therefore we do not project refinery supply constrains in the coming years. In contrast our base case aluminium price is projected to remain below the incentive price of $2300/t for the remainder of this decade increasing the risks of a smelter supply crunch in the first few years after 2020.

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    Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update

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Images

  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Image 1
  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Image 2
  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Image 3
  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Image 4
  • Historical and equilibrium alumina prices (2015 US$/t alumina)
  • Historical and equilibrium prices (2015 US$/t aluminium)

Tables

  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Table 1
  • Alumina and aluminium incentive price; 2015 update: Table 2

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