Commodity Market Report

Bulk steel alloys short-term outlook July 2022

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Following the removal of prolonged lockdowns restrictions across much of China by June 2022, the country’s economy has entered a phase of recovery. Despite this, consumer and investment confidence remain weak as the risk of further lockdowns remains in place. In Europe, sanctions imposed as a result of the Ukraine-Russia crisis are likely to tighten hydrocarbon balances further providing additional upward support to energy prices. Despite ongoing elevated costs, weaker demand has for the meantime, proven to be more decisive in driving the trajectory of prices in bulk alloy markets.

Table of contents

  • Chromium
  • Manganese
  • Ferrosilicon and silicon metal
    • Ore prices to fall further as market rebalances
    • UG2 discount and Turkish premium
    • Further downside in ferrochrome prices expected
    • High-grade ore price to soften further as premium narrows
    • More near-term downside expected in manganese alloy prices
    • Manganese metal prices likely close to cost-based floor level
    • Ferrosilicon prices continue to slide since May
    • Silicon metal prices decline further since May
  • Crude steel trends
  • Stainless steel trends
    • Background
    • Latest trends
  • Manganese
    • Ferrosilicon
    • Silicon metal
    • Chromium ore supply guidance adjusted downward on South African logistics headwinds
    • Ferrochrome supply guidanceadjusted upwards as China and South Africa outperform
  • 2 more item(s)...

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • Key chromium forecasts
  • Key manganese forecasts
  • Key silicon forecasts
  • Crude steel production (Mt)
  • Crude stainless steel production (Mt)
  • Manganese alloy and metal consumption outlook
  • Quarterly chromium ore prices and forecasts
  • Quarterly high-carbon ferrochrome prices and forecasts
  • Quarterly manganese ore price forecast
  • Quarterly silicomanganese price forecast
  • Quarterly high-carbon ferromanganese price forecast
  • Quarterly MC FeMn and manganese metal price forecast
  • 18 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Bulk steel alloys short-term outlook July 2022

    PDF 1.15 MB