Insight
China stocks, SHFE arbitrage and the copper price
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
It is a truth universally acknowledged that the surge in Chinese demand over the past decade has driven the copper price higher but in this Insight we reveal that the Chinese stock cycle plays an important role in movements on the LME. We also explain arbitrage and how all these factors interplay. During the period 2004 to 2012 Chinese consumption grew by 5.2Mt or at an average annual rate of 13%, while demand in the Rest of the World actually contracted.
Table of contents
- Executive Summary
- Introduction
- Stocking cycle
- Arbitrage
- Conclusions
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- China's share of copper stocks and the copper price
- China's stocks/demand ratio and the copper price
- China stock cycle and net copper imports - (kt)
- LME to SHFE arbitrage worked example
- China stocks, copper price and SHFE arbitrage
- SHFE arbitrage and refined copper imports
What's included
This report contains:
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