Insight
Chinese ban on copper scrap imports: the impact has come earlier
Report summary
The ban on the import of category 7 copper scrap will come into effect by the end of 2018. In this insight, we demonstrate qualitative analysis on how the changes on import quotas will bring forward the impact on China's scrap supply to 2018, and how the scrap industry is reacting to the change. We also present quantitative analysis of the impact on China's copper scrap imports, total scrap supply, and scrap consumption at smelters, refineries and semi fabricators.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
-
The ban on imports of category 7 copper scrap and the recent development on this policy
- Why has the ban been introduced?
- How have lower import quotas impacted scrap processors?
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How could the import ban change the scrap industry?
- Relocating Chinese capacity to ASEAN countries
- Becoming a trader for category 6 scrap
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Quantitative analysis on scrap supply: what is the net impact?
- Base case analysis
- High-case and low-case analysis for impact in 2018
- Impact on scrap consumers and copper markets
- Conclusion
Tables and charts
This report includes 4 images and tables including:
- Scrap exports from US and EU15 to ASEAN countries increased significantly
- Base case impact on copper scrap imports
- Changes in Chinese scrap supply 2017-2019
- Scenarios: impact on 2018 scrap supply
What's included
This report contains:
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