Commodity Market Report

Global aluminium long-term outlook Q2 2019

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21 June 2019

Global aluminium long-term outlook Q2 2019

Report summary

The aluminium metal market service long term outlook (LTO) is published quarterly and provides a detailed forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals out to 2040. Global economic conditions have continued to weaken over the past three months. The US-China trade war is taking its toll on investor and consumer confidence in China, in particular. The recent tensions between the US and Iran has also added another negative dimension to market sentiment. Despite these nearby headwinds we expect the global market balance to remain tight over the next five years. With days of consumption falling to below our long term average, we forecast average annual prices to move higher on fundamental support.

Table of contents

  • What’s changed?
  • Demand update
  • Supply update

Tables and charts

No table or charts specified

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Market balance and prices aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 300.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 894.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand main changes aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 283.50 KB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 1.01 MB

  • Document

    Production rankings aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 564.00 KB

  • Document

    Refinery analysis aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 700.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply main changes aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 741.00 KB

  • Document

    Mine analysis aluminium LTO Q2 2019.xls

    XLS 364.50 KB

  • Document

    Aluminium_Tables_Q2_2019.pdf

    PDF 1.11 MB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long term outlook Q2 2019.pdf

    PDF 2.87 MB

  • Document

    Global aluminium long-term outlook Q2 2019

    ZIP 4.97 MB

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