Global aluminium short-term outlook April 2018 Report

Commodity Market Report 30 April 2018

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Report summary

The aluminium market service short term outlook (STO) is published monthly and provides a forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals over the next two-years. April turned out be a tumultuous month for the aluminium market. The market was still assessing the impact for global metal trade flows following the announcement of US Section 232 tariffs on aluminium, when on 6 April the US Treasury imposed sanctions on Rusal. The sanctions were unprecedented in their direct impact on the aluminium market and had the potential to be a permanent game changer for the aluminium market. The subsequent deadline extension has calmed market jitters for the time being. However, we expect volatile market conditions over the coming months.

China
Asia ex-China
- Japan
- Japanese aluminium imports, 2017
- South Korea
- Shipments of flat-rolled products declining
- Residential construction declines
- North America
- US
- Europe
- 2 more item(s)...
Alumina Market Developments
- Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2017-2020, (kt)
- Changes in global SGA production estimates since March, (kt)