Commodity Market Report

Global copper short-term outlook April 2020

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After hitting lows in March in the midst of the wholesale panic in the face of the coronavirus pandemic, the price has staged a modest recovery climbing above $5200/t on several occasions in the second half of the April. It would seem that the risk to mine supply and the potential for further disruption is outweighing the negative consequences of a collapse in demand. Other potential factors include a sharp recovery in Chinese economic activity and tight scrap availability.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 23 images and tables including:

  • Supply disruptions and China’s return support modest recovery after March sell-off
  • Regional LME stocks (kt)
  • COMEX and SHFE stocks (kt)
  • Comparison of base case and downside scenario demand
  • Comparison of base case and downside scenario – stock days
  • Price forecasts and world quarterly supply/demand balance (kt)
  • Concentrate market TCRCs
  • Global copper-in-concentrate stock changes (kt Cu)
  • Copper end-use indicators recovered in March
  • AIA Billings Index points to weakness in non-residential construction into 2021
  • Housing starts collapse in March
  • European sectoral PMIs
  • Production and shipments of copper wire rod and copper semis - kt
  • Global quarterly refined copper consumption - kt
  • Blister market RC
  • Global mine production - breakdown by product type (kt copper in concentrate & leach output)
  • Global copper refined consumption (kt)
  • Global copper mine production (kt copper in concentrate & leach output)
  • Global copper smelter production (kt)
  • Global copper refinery production (kt)
  • Copper stocks
  • Copper prices and premia
  • Copper supply/demand balance global summary (kt)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global copper short-term outlook April 2020

    PDF 1.16 MB