Commodity Market Report

Global copper short-term outlook February 2020

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The unprecedented challenges posed by the spread of the COVID-19 virus rattled the copper market in February. The copper price has come under significant downward pressure, fuelled by the speculative selloff as investors turned bearish. The crisis is evolving rapidly. Industrial sectors in China have been gradually resuming operations; the estimated loss of working days and disruption to copper demand in February is close to two weeks. We expect a much smaller loss of copper demand in March as production picks up. The concentrate market has been impacted by the reduction in smelter utilisation rates, accelerated by the collapse in demand for sulphuric acid, but also from some smelters rescheduling maintenance.

Table of contents

  • Market developments
    • China
    • Japan and South Korea
    • India and ASEAN
  • Europe
  • USA
  • Latin America
    • China concentrate markets
    • Blister/anode and scrap markets
    • Production News
    • Project development
    • Corporate activity

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    LME cash price and 3-month spreadVirus fears drive metals sell offManaged money CFTC positions
    Managed money LME positionsChinese raw material imports as a share of refined consumptionExchange stocksPrice forecasts and world quarterly supply/demand balance (kt)Regional manufacturing PMIProduction and shipments of copper wire rod and copper semis - ktGlobal quarterly refined copper consumption - ktConcentrate market TCRCsGlobal copper-in-concentrate stock changes (kt Cu)
  • 13 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global copper short-term outlook February 2020

    PDF 1.12 MB