Commodity Market Report

Global copper short-term outlook September 2020

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There has been little change to our fundamental outlook for copper. We maintain our view that the market is headed for a period of significant oversupply as additional tonnage from new projects and existing mines comes to market. Refined demand is set to contract sharply in 2020 before returning to growth in 2021 and 2022. However, as coronavirus related concerns re-emerge, demand prospects could yet disappoint. Tightness in scrap availability in China could yet support higher demand for refined metal in the final quarter of this year.

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Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    LME cash copper price and 3-month spread ($/t)LME copper prices vs trade weighted dollar indexMonthly changes in regional exchange stocks (kt)
    Cancelled Warrants as % of LME StocksPrice forecasts and world quarterly supply/demand balance (kt)Concentrate market TCRCsGlobal copper-in-concentrate stock changes (kt Cu)Total scrap availability in ChinaIPs of end-use sectors in IndiaEU production in industry (aggregate), construction, manufacturing and electricityProduction and shipments of copper wire rod and copper semis - ktGlobal quarterly refined copper consumption - kt
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What's included

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    Global copper short-term outlook September 2020

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