Commodity Market Report

Global noble steel alloys strategic planning outlook - Q1 2022

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Within the noble alloys space, vanadium prices have seen solid increases recently, as the Russia/Ukraine conflict added uncertainty onto a market that had already tightened following maintenance closures at co-producers in China. Meanwhile, molybdenum prices remained relatively stable at high levels. Supply growth remains weak and this is likely to result in a continuation of the tight market conditions that endured through 2021. Finally, niobium prices remained stable as CBMM’s dominance of the market allowed it to balance supply and prices.

Table of contents

  • Prices: short-term market-driven convergence, long-term divergence
  • Demand: China-dependent with decarbonisation growth potential
  • Supply: differing trajectories across noble alloys
  • Molybdenum
    • Risks to the base case
    • Background
    • Latest outlook
    • Base case price forecast
    • Key risks to the base case
    • Background
    • Latest outlook
    • Base case price forecast
  • Carbon steel production trends
  • Stainless steel production trends
    • Use of molybdenum in steel
    • Use of molybdenum in stainless steel
    • Use of molybdenum in other applications
    • Ferroniobium demand
    • Use of vanadium in steel
    • Use of vanadium in VRBs and other applications
    • Substitution between vanadium and niobium
  • 3 more item(s)...

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • Molybdenum demand and finished supply (kt Mo)
  • China net imports of molybdenum concentrate and ferromolybdenum (kt Mo)
  • Molybdenum prices: recent trends
  • Molybdenum prices: future trends
  • FeMo conversion premiums
  • Forecast crude steel production
  • Forecast stainless steel production
  • Forecast demand for niobium products by application
  • Consumption of vanadium by application
  • Vanadium consumption by region
  • Molybdenum mine supply by country: base case, probable and possible
  • Molybdenum mine supply (kt Mo)
  • 38 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global noble steel alloys strategic planning outlook - Q1 2022

    PDF 1.31 MB