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7 Pages

Iron Ore M&A: evaluating the opportunities

Iron Ore M&A: evaluating the opportunities

Report summary

We have identified seven iron ore assets supplying the seaborne market that could potentially be up for sale in 2016 - Vale's Midwestern System, Anglo American's Minas Rio and Kumba operations, Atlas Iron, Ferrous Resources, Arrium and Karara - and compared their cash margins, production and reserves. By looking at these attributes, we have concluded that the Midwestern System, Kumba, and  Minas Rio are the standouts. We expect these assets will be cash positive in 2016, have positive NPV and upside to production. The remaining assets will likely only appeal to buyers with a bullish long term view of iron ore prices, a strategic interest in acquiring the assets, or a belief they can fundamentally lower costs.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Iron Ore M&A: evaluating the opportunities PDF - 314.92 KB 7 Pages, 1 Tables, 5 Figures


This Metals Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

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  • Executive summary
  • Background
  • Few assets with positive margins
  • Limited room for production increase
  • Big resources, not great resources

In this report there are 6 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Background
  • Few assets with positive margins
    • 2016 breakeven costs by asset (62% Fe fines delivered to China)
    • Remaining PV vs. 2016 cash operating margin
  • Limited room for production increase
    • Asset production (wet Mt)
  • Big resources, not great resources
    • Asset resource size and quality (bubble size as raw mineral resources in wet Mt)
    • 2016 operating margin vs. marketable reserves
    • Key metrics comparative table by asset
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