Insight
Lead: what to look for in 2016
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Report summary
The situation for lead is dominated by the increasingly tight availability of mine supply during the course of 2016. With no new mines outside China due to start production this year and several major smelter expansions, the competition for concentrates will be intense, drive TCs down and LME price upwards. Demand remains steady and driven by the relentless increase in global vehicle numbers. New battery technology will increase the use of lead for automotive batteries and electric vehicles will do little to abate this demand.
Table of contents
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Executive summary
- Steady demand stands up to world economic storms
- Lead retains resilience
- The push-pull influence of new battery technologies
- More new technology offers batteries with reduced lead and cleaner refining
- Potential prohibition and devolving the problem
- A concentrate deficit is forecast to take precedent in 2016
- 2016 will be a pivotal year in shaping the medium-long-term future of the lead market
- High-silver lead concentrate will be in high demand in 2016
- 1 more item(s)...
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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Asia continues to have highest growthAll regions move into positive growth for 2016Lead remained the most resilient base metal throughout 2015
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Price spread volatility was a feature throughout last yearHybrids and EVs show limited market penetration for years ahead2016 will see it s first concentrate market deficit since 2008Heavy investment will be required from this year onwards to meet the requirement for lead concentrateProduction capability of medium-high silver grade lead concentrate treating smelters higher than mine production forecast in ROWIt is forecast that 61% of Chinese smelter production will come from SKS technology
What's included
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