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Perspectives - Metals and Mining - December 2025

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Since our last edition, the landscape has shifted again. New bilateral agreements with the US and a quiet realignment of trade routes have helped ease the impact of effective tariff rates. Still, fragility persists as the world awaits the US Supreme Court’s ruling, and the temporary one-year truce between the US and China continues to fuel uncertainty. Across commodities, the story is one of contrast. Demand is softening across several metals, yet low inventories are underpinning base-metal prices. Copper, aluminium, and zinc look set to hold their gains into 2026 on the back of tight supply. Battery materials diverge: lithium and nickel are still awaiting the next demand upswing, while cobalt faces a tightening market. In steel, China’s surplus capacity has pushed 2025 prices 13% below the 2022–2024 average, and iron ore is projected to further ease as new supply outpaces China’s seaborne demand.

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    MM Perspectives Issue8 Dec 25.pdf

    PDF 1.42 MB