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Commodity Market Report

Steel short-term outlook August 2022

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29 August 2022

Steel short-term outlook August 2022

Report summary

The global steel demand outlook remains gloomy due to high energy prices, weak consumer confidence and supply chain disruptions arising from the Russia-Ukraine war. Chinese demand continues to weaken as the property sector’s downfall overshadows rising automotive and manufacturing output. The recent covid resurgence in China and dampening consumer sentiment places a downside risk to our demand forecast. Threats of recession in several countries, muted steel prices and weakness in the Chinese property sector suggest global demand outlook will remain sluggish for the rest of the year.

Table of contents

    • Steel demand in July continued to weaken
    • Demand outlook appears gloomy
  • Supply
  • Trade & Logistics
  • Prices
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Trade
  • Prices
    • Macro uncertainty continues to undermine demand
    • Rising energy prices continue to squeeze margins for steel producers
    • Russia/Ukraine’s absence leads to diversified imports
    • European steel market fundamentals have been too weak recently to support a price rise
  • Supply
  • Supply
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Trade & Logistics
  • Prices
    • South Korea races ahead in construction investments
    • Automotive still has pain in the offing
    • Manufacturing – the critical growth determinant
  • Steel Costs
  • Iron Ore
  • Coal
  • Scrap

Tables and charts

This report includes 28 images and tables including:

  • Utilisation levels (%)
  • Steel inventories (Mt)
  • Steel Prices (RMB/t)
  • Steel margins (RMB/t)
  • Auto leading indicators
  • Non-residential spending by category*
  • Upcoming scheduled maintenances and risked production
  • Production and trade (Mt)
  • US and China HRC prices and premia
  • Russia new car sales
  • Russia steel exports in 2021
  • Ukraine and Russia crude steel production
  • Ukraine steel exports in 2021 (Mt)
  • Apparent steel consumption (Mt)
  • Inflation levels (%)
  • Steel exports (Mt)
  • Steel price (INR/t)
  • Quarterly steel demand outlook
  • Crude steel production (Mt)
  • End-Use Indicators
  • Growth in property developers’ funding (%)
  • Apparent steel consumption (Mt)
  • EU passenger car registrations
  • Crude steel production (Mt)
  • Global HRC prices
  • Northern Europe HRC vs Rebar
  • Building Construction investment (% year-on-year)
  • Civil Engineering investment (% year-on-year)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Steel short-term outlook August 2022

    PDF 1.39 MB