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Egypt Nile Delta exploration basin

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12 March 2018

Egypt Nile Delta exploration basin

Report summary

The Nile Delta Basin covers an extensive area including onshore, shelf and deepwater environments. Early exploration focused on the low-cost onshore Tertiary play before gradually moving offshore. More recently, exploration has focused on deeper, high pressure/high temperature Pre-Pliocene reservoirs of predominantly Miocene and Oligocene age, with BP and BG achieving some spectacular successes, and in 2015 Eni opened up a new play with the discovery of the world-class Zohr gas field, located in a Miocene Carbonate reef structure. Over the past 10 years, explorers have added 6.3 bnboe of new resource and achieved positive full cycle returns, although overall value creation has been restricted by regulated gas prices as producers are contracted to supply gas to the Egyptian domestic market, where prices are capped. This position is starting to improve however, and as a result, our outlook for the basin is positive.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
  • Key companies
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Prospective resource potential
    • Play inputs
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Model field pool size distribution
    • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
    • Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
      • Tertiary Onshore
      • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
        • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
      • Pliocene Shelf
        • Pliocene Shelf
      • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
        • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
      • Pliocene Deepwater
        • Pliocene Deepwater
      • Cretaceous Carbonate
  • Costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
      • Tertiary Onshore, Pre-Pliocene and Pliocene Shelf plays
        • Typical fiscal terms - Pliocene and Pre-Pliocene Shelf plays
      • Pre-Pliocene and Pliocene deepwater, and Cretaceous Carbonate, plays
    • Oil and gas prices
      • Tertiary Onshore
      • Pliocene and Pre-Pliocene Shelf
      • Pliocene and Pre-Pliocene Deepwater, and Cretaceous Carbonate
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
    • Development value
      • Tertiary Onshore
    • Prospect breakeven price
      • Tertiary Onshore
      • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
      • Pliocene Shelf
      • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
      • Pliocene Deepwater
      • Miocene Carbonate
    • Expected monetary value (EMV)
    • Full cycle basin economics
    • Implied acreage value
      • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 106 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map
  • Location maps: Image 2
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Net exploration wells completed by participant
  • Company success rates and discoveries
  • Key play characteristics
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Summary of discovery and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Commerciality index
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Cretaceous Carbonate
  • Pliocene Deepwater
  • Pliocene Shelf
  • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
  • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
  • Reserves and resources: Table 16
  • Cretaceous Carbonate
  • Pliocene Deepwater
  • Pliocene Shelf
  • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
  • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
  • Tertiary Onshore
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Economic analysis: Table 1
  • Economic analysis: Table 2
  • Pliocene Shelf
  • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
  • Pliocene Deepwater
  • Economic analysis: Table 6
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Tertiary Onshore
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Pliocene Deepwater
  • Reserves and resources: Table 5
  • Pliocene Shelf
  • Reserves and resources: Table 6
  • Pre-Pliocene Deepwater
  • Reserves and resources: Table 7
  • Pre-Pliocene Shelf
  • Reserves and resources: Table 8
  • Reserves and resources: Table 9
  • Reserves and resources: Table 10
  • Tertiary Onshore
  • Miocene Carbonate
  • Typical fiscal terms - Tertiary Onshore play
  • Typical fiscal terms - Pre-Pliocene and Pliocene Deepwater, and Miocene Carbonate, plays
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Brekeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Economic analysis: Table 8
  • Development: Table 2
  • Development: Table 3
  • Development: Table 4
  • Development: Table 5
  • Fiscal and regulatory: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Egypt Nile Delta.zip

    ZIP 7.46 MB

  • Document

    Egypt Nile Delta exploration basin

    PDF 4.39 MB

  • Document

    Egypt Nile Delta exploration basin

    ZIP 11.37 MB

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