Indonesia Kutei exploration basin
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Report summary
The Kutei Basin is the largest Cenozoic basin in Indonesia and covers an extensive area of onshore Kalimantan, extending into ultra-deepwater at the centre of the Makassar Strait. Future exploration is expected to focus on two main offshore plays that offer the majority of prospective resource: the shallow coastal waters of the Shelf play, and a deepwater Tertiary turbidite sandstone play. Gas discoveries are likely to be developed as feedstock to the Bontang LNG plant. Compared to other Indonesian basins, the basin has delivered the largest amount of resource discovered, and offers the largest future resource potential. However, the Kutei Basin has underperformed in terms of value creation among its peers over the past decade due to tough PSC terms and long project leads. Indonesia's 2018 licensing round includes six conventional blocks in the South Sumatra Basin: one under direct proposal and six under regular tender. Full details are available for download in pdf and xls format.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
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Key facts
- Play level data
- Assumptions
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Summary and key issues
- Key issues include:
- Location maps
- Participation
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Key companies
- Key licence holders
- Geology
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Exploration
- Wells drilled
- Basin success rates
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Reserves and resources
- Volumes discovered
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Prospective resource potential
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Play inputs
- Creaming curve and key play data
- Model field pool size distribution
- Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
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Play inputs
- Development
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Costs
- Recent discovery costs
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Fiscal and regulatory
- Licensing
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Fiscal terms
- Gross Split PSC terms
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Economic assumptions
- Oil and gas prices
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Economic analysis
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Outlook economics
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Development value
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
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Prospect breakeven prices
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Expected monetary value (EMV)
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Development value
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Full cycle basin economics
- Implied acreage value
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Outlook economics
Tables and charts
This report includes 62 images and tables including:
Images
- Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
- Value creation versus investment (outlook)
- Exploration history map
- Exploration wells by play
- Participation: Image 1
- Expiry forecast of current licences
- Value creation, spend and volume discovered
- Returns by drilling year
- Summary and key issues: Image 3
- Gross exploration wells completed by operator
- Net exploration wells completed by participant
- Drilling activity by well type
- Cumulative exploration wells by play
- Discoveries and success rates
- Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
- Basin creaming curve
- Volumes discovered by year
- Average discovery size and volume per well by year
- Cumulative discoveries by play
- Cumulative volumes discovered by play
- Exploration and appraisal spend
- Exploration spend per well and average well depth*
- Brent and local oil price assumptions
- Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
- Breakeven price versus prospect size
- Value creation versus investment
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Value of potential discoveries
- Unit value of potential discoveries
- Value of potential discoveries
- Unit value of potential discoveries
- Breakeven price of exploration
- Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
- Breakeven price of exploration
- Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
Tables
- Key play characteristics
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Key facts: Table 1
- Key facts: Table 2
- Key companies: Table 1
- Key well operators (TYP period)
- Company success rates and discoveries
- Key basin data
- Top discoveries (TYP period)
- Forecast data by play (outlook)
- Costs: Table 1
- Summary of discovery and development costs
- Indonesian 2008 model PSC terms - Tertiary Shelf and Deepwater plays
- Full cycle economic analysis
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Tertiary Shelf
- Tertiary Deepwater
- Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
- Reserves and resources: Table 4
- Reserves and resources: Table 5
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