Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande exploration basin
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Report summary
The long-awaited liberalisation of Mexico’s oil and gas industry is creating new opportunities for explorers. The Sabinas - Rio Grande Basin includes the Perdido Area - a large area of prospective deepwater acreage derisked by recent Pemex-led drilling and exploration success across the border in the US Gulf of Mexico. The Round One deepwater licensing round opened at the end of 2015, and bids are expected by the end of 2016. Acreage will be offered under concession-style licences, and a biddable component is an additional royalty, on top of a price-based royalty. Bidding levels will be a key factor in determining the future value creation potential. This Exploration Basin report provides a detailed analysis of exploration performance and future potential, including location maps and details on costs, licensing and fiscal terms. We model prospect and play economics and forecast yet-to-find volume. This report is accompanied by excel downloads which detail costs, volumes and value.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
- Key facts
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Summary and key issues
- Key issues include:
- Location maps
- Participation
- Key companies
- Geology
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Exploration
- Wells drilled
- Basin success rates
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Reserves and resources
- Volumes discovered
- Prospective resource potential
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Play inputs
- Creaming curve and key play data
- Model field pool size distribution
- Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
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Development
- Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
- Costs
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Fiscal and regulatory
- Licensing
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Economic assumptions
- Oil and gas prices
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Economic analysis
- TYP economics
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Outlook economics
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Play economics
- Full cycle basin economics
- Implied acreage value
Tables and charts
This report includes 51 images and tables including:
Images
- Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
- Value creation versus investment (outlook)
- Exploration history map - including acreage in Deepwater Rounds 2 and 4
- Exploration wells by play - including acreage in Deepwater Rounds 2 and 4
- Licensed exploration acreage
- Expiry forecast of current licences
- Gross exploration wells completed by operator
- Net exploration wells completed by participant
- Exploration and appraisal spend
- Exploration spend per well and average well depth
- Commerciality index
- Drilling activity by well type
- Cumulative exploration wells by play
- Discoveries and success rates
- Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
- Basin creaming curve
- Volumes discovered by year
- Average discovery size and volume per well by year
- Cumulative discoveries by play
- Reserves and resources: Image 5
- Brent and local oil price assumptions
- Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
- Economic analysis: Image 1
- Returns by drilling year
- Breakeven price vs prospect size
- Value creation vs investment
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Value of potential discoveries
- Unit value of potential discoveries
- Breakeven price of exploration
- Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
Tables
- Play level data
- Assumptions
- Key licence holders
- Key well operators (TYP period)
- Company success rates and discoveries
- Key play characteristics
- Recent discovery costs
- Summary of discovery and development costs
- Key basin data
- Top discoveries (TYP period)
- Forecast data by play (outlook)
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Typical fiscal terms
- Economic analysis: Table 1
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Full-cycle economic analysis
- Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
- Reserves and resources: Table 4
- Paleogene Deepwater
- Economic analysis: Table 2
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