Asset Report

Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande exploration basin

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20 February 2018

Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande exploration basin

Report summary

The long-awaited liberalisation of Mexico’s oil and gas industry is creating new opportunities for explorers. The Sabinas - Rio Grande Basin includes the Perdido Area - a large area of prospective deepwater acreage derisked by recent Pemex-led drilling and exploration success across the border in the US Gulf of Mexico. The Round One deepwater licensing round opened at the end of 2015, and bids are expected by the end of 2016. Acreage will be offered under concession-style licences, and a biddable component is an additional royalty, on top of a price-based royalty. Bidding levels will be a key factor in determining the future value creation potential. This Exploration Basin report provides a detailed analysis of exploration performance and future potential, including location maps and details on costs, licensing and fiscal terms. We model prospect and play economics and forecast yet-to-find volume. This report is accompanied by excel downloads which detail costs, volumes and value.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
  • Key companies
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Prospective resource potential
    • Play inputs
      • Creaming curve and key play data
      • Model field pool size distribution
      • Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
    • Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
  • Costs
    • Licensing
    • Oil and gas prices
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
      • Paleogene Deepwater
      • Paleogene Deepwater
    • Play economics
    • Full cycle basin economics
    • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 51 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map - including acreage in Deepwater Rounds 2 and 4
  • Exploration wells by play - including acreage in Deepwater Rounds 2 and 4
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Net exploration wells completed by participant
  • Company success rates and discoveries
  • Key play characteristics
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Summary of discovery and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Commerciality index
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Reserves and resources: Image 5
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Paleogene Deepwater
  • Typical fiscal terms
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Economic analysis: Image 1
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Economic analysis: Table 1
  • Breakeven price vs prospect size
  • Value creation vs investment
  • Paleogene Deepwater
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Paleogene Deepwater
  • Paleogene Deepwater
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Economic analysis: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    3 Outlook Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande.zip

    ZIP 3.77 MB

  • Document

    Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande exploration basin

    PDF 5.68 MB

  • Document

    Mexico Sabinas - Rio Grande exploration basin

    ZIP 9.40 MB

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