Asset Report

Pakistan Indus exploration basin

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12 July 2016

Pakistan Indus exploration basin

Report summary

Pakistan Indus is an onshore, mature exploration basin, dominated by high-intensity, step-out drilling. Over the last decade, it has attracted the third highest number of exploration wells globally, ranking behind Egypt Western Desert and Colombia Llanos. It is also one of the fastest growing exploration provinces, ranking in the top 20 globally, for the rate of growth in exploration wells. The majority of exploration is concentrated in the Badin licences, and on OGDC-operated acreage. The activity is spread across two plays: Middle & Upper Indus, which is a dry gas play, and the Lower Indus, where discoveries typically include associated liquid. The bulk of future activity is expected to focus on the Lower Indus play, which offers over US$5 Bn of future value creation potential (2016 - 2035). This report includes discovery and development costs, licensing details , yet-to-find volumes and value creation potential. It is accompanied by multiple excel downloads. .

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
  • Key companies
    • Key play characteristics
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Yet-to-find potential
      • Play inputs
        • Creaming curve and key play data
      • Model field pool size distribution
    • Yet-to-find costs and underlying development assumptions
  • Costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
      • Typical fiscal terms
    • Oil prices
    • Gas prices
      • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
      • Development value
        • Lower Indus
        • Middle & Upper Indus
      • Prospect breakeven price
        • Lower Indus
        • Middle & Upper Indus
      • Expected monetary value (EMV)
      • Play economics
    • Full cycle basin economics
      • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 62 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map
  • Location maps: Image 2
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Key companies: Image 2
  • Key companies: Table 3
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Summary of discovery and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Commerciality index
  • Geology: Table 1
  • Exploration: Image 1
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Reserves and resources: Image 2
  • Reserves and resources: Image 3
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Reserves and resources: Table 3
  • Lower Indus
  • Middle & Upper Indus
  • Economic assumptions: Image 1
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Lower Indus
  • Middle & Upper Indus
  • Reserves and resources: Table 8
  • Fiscal and regulatory: Table 1
  • Lower Indus gas price assumptions
  • Middle & Upper Indus gas price assumptions
  • Lower Indus
  • Middle & Upper Indus
  • Lower Indus
  • Middle & Upper Indus
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Lower Indus
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Middle & Upper Indus
  • Reserves and resources: Table 5
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Pakistan Indus.zip

    ZIP 3.58 MB

  • Document

    Pakistan Indus exploration basin

    PDF 1.06 MB

  • Document

    Pakistan Indus exploration basin

    ZIP 4.49 MB

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