Asset Report
Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal exploration basin
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Report summary
A string of large gas discoveries by Onephir Energy, BG and Statoil since 2010 have established a major new play in Tanzania's deepwater sector. Although much smaller than Mozambique's Rovuma Basin to the south, Tanzania's discovered resources are nonetheless sufficient for an LNG export development within the Tanzanian Coastal Basin. Additional volumes found in Block 1 in the Tanzanian sector of the Rovuma Basin, and the expenditure, volumes and value creation associated with this are excluded from this analysis. Future value creation will be dependent on competitive commercial terms for an LNG export project and securing a sufficiently high gas price in an export market. Incumbents with current acreage should achieve better results from future exploration than those implied below, due to less stringent fiscal terms than those applied in newer PSCs.
Table of contents
- Key facts
-
Summary and key issues
- Key issues include:
- Location maps
- Participation
-
Key companies
- Licensing participation
- Geology
-
Exploration
- Wells drilled
- Basin success rates
-
Reserves and resources
- Volumes discovered
- Prospective resource potential
-
Play inputs
- Creaming curve and key play data
- Model field pool size distribution
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Existing discoveries and modelled prospective resource pool size distribution
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Development
- Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
-
Costs
- Recent discovery costs
- Summary of discovery and development costs
-
Fiscal and regulatory
- Licensing
- Fiscal terms
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Economic assumptions
- Oil and gas prices
-
Economic analysis
- TYP economics
- Outlook economics
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Development value
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Prospect breakeven price
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Expected monetary value (EMV)
- Play economics
- Full cycle basin economics
- Implied acreage value
Tables and charts
This report includes 41 images and tables including:
- Play level data
- Assumptions
- Exploration history map
- Exploration wells by play
- Key play characteristics
- Commerciality index
- Key licence holders
- Key companies: Table 2
- Gross exploration wells completed by operator
- Net exploration wells completed by participant
- Discoveries and success rates
- Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
- Basin creaming curve
- Key basin data
- Volumes discovered by year
- Average discovery size and volume per well by year
- Top discoveries (TYP period)
- Cumulative discoveries by play
- Cumulative volumes discovered by play
- Forecast data by play (outlook)
- Reserves and resources: Table 5
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Costs: Table 1
- Costs: Table 2
- Exploration and appraisal spend by well type
- Exploration spend per well and average well depth
- Henry Hub and local gas prices
- Value creation, spend and volume discovered
- Returns by drilling year
- Breakeven price versus prospect size
- Value creation versus investment
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Full-cycle economic analysis
- Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
- Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
- Reserves and resources: Table 4
- Value of potential discoveries
- Unit value of potential discoveries
- Breakeven price of exploration
- Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
What's included
This report contains:
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