Insight
Combating air pollution, China gears up for decarbonization of road freight
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
China’s road diesel demand has reached a plateau, as a result of increasingly stringent policy measures to control air pollution. Targeting carbon neutrality by 2060, China actively pursues lower carbon emissions from road freight, exerting additional downward pressure on road diesel demand. For road freight decarbonization, multiple technologies will likely be adopted. Vehicle electrification advances more eminently for light-to-medium trucks, while fuel cell vehicles are adopted manly for heavy-duty trucks. Oil and natural gas still account for a noticeable part of fuels for heavy-duty trucks in the long run.
Table of contents
- Executive Summary
- China’s actions on air pollution has resulted in plateauing road diesel demand
- By 2050 diesel demand from heavy-duty trucks falls by more than half, as the fleet shifts to zero-emission and natural gas vehicles
- For medium & light commercial vehicles, diesel demand falls sharply as e-tucks become the mainstream in the long run
- Post-2040, the end of ICE age in China’s road freight
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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China road freight diesel demand for commercial vehiclesChina road freight diesel demand and road freight volume from 2000 to 2020China road freight diesel demand for heavy-duty trucks
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China coal and iron ore consumption from 2000 to 2050China emission standards for heavy-duty diesel enginesChina pollutants emissions for diesel trucks in 2019Total cost of ownership (TCO) for heavy-duty trucks by engine typesChina road freight diesel demand for light&medium trucks and busesTotal cost of ownership (TCO) for selected light e-truck and diesel truckChina's favourable measures for e-trucksChina commercial vehicle fleet from 2010 to 2050China road freight diesel demand from 2010 to 2050
What's included
This report contains:
