Combating air pollution, China gears up for decarbonization of road freight Report

Insight 21 September 2021

Get this report*

$1,350

You can pay by card or invoice

Share link

First name
Last name
Job Title
Company
Email
Telephone

Country

Message

Consent

Please keep me informed about Wood Mackenzie products, services and events.

Submit Category

For details on how your data is used and stored, see our Privacy Notice.

- FAQs about online orders
- Find out more about subscriptions

*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

Report summary

China’s road diesel demand has reached a plateau, as a result of increasingly stringent policy measures to control air pollution. Targeting carbon neutrality by 2060, China actively pursues lower carbon emissions from road freight, exerting additional downward pressure on road diesel demand. For road freight decarbonization, multiple technologies will likely be adopted. Vehicle electrification advances more eminently for light-to-medium trucks, while fuel cell vehicles are adopted manly for heavy-duty trucks. Oil and natural gas still account for a noticeable part of fuels for heavy-duty trucks in the long run.

Executive Summary
China’s actions on air pollution has resulted in plateauing road diesel demand
By 2050 diesel demand from heavy-duty trucks falls by more than half, as the fleet shifts to zero-emission and natural gas vehicles
For medium & light commercial vehicles, diesel demand falls sharply as e-tucks become the mainstream in the long run
Post-2040, the end of ICE age in China’s road freight