Commodity Market Report
North American Crude Market strategic planning outlook
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Report summary
Our latest North American crude strategic planning outlook shows regional pockets of continued need for midstream investment with a modest near-term supply upgrade. However, despite triple-digit benchmark crude prices we continue to expect measured production growth from US focused producers. This outlook also sees an upgrade to US refiner crude runs in the 2040s which has implications for long-term regional crude differentials and waterborne export volumes. Key topics include: • Latest views on long-term L48 supply and core inventory exhaustion • Permian and Midcontinent midstream investment needs • Upgraded views on long-term US crude runs and overall market balance • Near-term upgrade, long-term downgrade of US coastal crude exports
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