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On the road again: Where will US gasoline demand go this summer?

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20 April 2021

On the road again: Where will US gasoline demand go this summer?

Report summary

US gasoline demand is poised to break above the 9 million b/d mark for the first time since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. The vaccination programme nationwide has positioned the US to reach a critical mass of vaccination by the end of the summer. That will encourage Americans to get back on the road again as states relax stringency measures. We explore the following topics in this insight: • When do we expect demand to return to pre-pandemic levels? • What's the upside and downside risk for demand in 2021? • How could gasoline prices affect the demand trajectory? • Can US refining meet the challenge of summer gasoline demand?

Table of contents

  • US gasoline is already on a strong rebound
  • When does Wood Mackenzie expect US gasoline demand to return to pre-pandemic levels?
  • What’s the upside and downside risk for US gasoline demand this year?
  • How could gasoline prices affect US gasoline demand’s trajectory?

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • Graph 1: US Covid-19 Daily Vaccination Rates and New Cases
  • Graph 2: US passenger car VMT on interstate highways, weekly vs 2019
  • Graph 3: US Gasoline Demand, 2019-2021
  • Graph 4: Wood Mackenzie US Gasoline Demand Scenarios, 2021
  • Graph 5: US refinery production of unfinished gasoline, 2019-2021
  • Graph 6: US gasoline refiner and blender supply, monthly
  • Graph 7: US gasoline stocks (days of supply), monthly
  • Graph 8: New York Harbor FOB gasoline prices

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    On the road again: Where will US gasoline demand go this summer?

    PDF 1.07 MB