Insight
| |
16 Pages

The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?


The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?

Report summary

As European countries' support of diesel fuel in the road sector has come under greater scrutiny, many interested parties have begun to speculate what would be the implications of ending such support. 

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe? PDF - 355.92 KB 16 Pages, 0 Tables, 24 Figures

Description

This Oil Markets Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

For participants, suppliers and advisors who want to look at the trends, risks and issues of this topic, this report gives you an expert point of view to help inform your decision making.

Wood Mackenzie gives you an informed, independent view on oil prices and the key drivers and trends impacting the oil market. Our highly experienced macro analysts and regional sector teams are based in the key oil producing and consuming regions they analyse, providing detailed field data and demand forecasts driven by country and industry forecasts.

Wood Mackenzie's trusted insight helps you deliver successful growth strategies.

  • Executive Summary
    • Why has diesel use become a concern?
    • Why retail fuel tax equalisation?
    • The Wood Mackenzie Base Case
    • So what would be the results of retail fuel tax equalisation?
    • What would be the impact of this on the overall car stock?
    • What would happen to the market for diesel cars if retail diesel fuel taxes were raised to the same as those on gasoline on a calorific basis?
      • European retail fuel prices in € per litre with adjusted retail tax levels, H1 2015
      • EU average cost of driving per kilometre in € cents, H1 2015
    • What would be the impact on Europe's refiners of tax equalisation on a volume basis?

In this report there are 24 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive Summary
    • European car sales by segment
    • Fuel efficiency of new gasoline and diesel cars in the EU, litres per 100 km
    • EU Passenger car stock - base case
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 4
    • EU Passenger car fuel demand - base case
    • EU Passenger car fuel demand as % - base case
    • European retail fuel prices in € per litre, H1 2015
    • EU average cost of driving per kilometre in € cents, H1 2015
    • Estimated cost of driving a diesel BMW 3 series as a % of driving a gasoline BMW 3 series in the EU, H1 2015 pricing basis
    • Estimated cost of driving a diesel car as a % of driving a gasoline car pre-tax change in the EU
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 11
    • EU estimated percentage of drivers by kilometres driven per year
    • Expected growth in the gasoline car stock by segment as a result of tax equalisation
    • Share of diesel cars in new registrations compared to retail diesel price discount to gasoline in European markets
    • EU New registrations by fuel as % of total (new case)
    • EU Car stock by fuel (new case)
    • EU Road fuel demand - new case
    • EU Change in road fuel demand from base case
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 19
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 20
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 21
    • The end of structural dieselisation in Europe?: Image 22
    • EU Gasoline trade balance under base and new case
    • EU Diesel/gasoil trade balance under base and new case
Requester's name : .............
Department : .............
Authoriser's Name : .............
Authoriser's signature : .............
Date : .............
Cost Centre : .............

Questions about this report?

Frequently Asked Questions

Mailenquiries@woodmac.com
  • Europe: +44 131 243 4699
  • Americas: +1 713 470 1900
  • Asia Pacific: +61 2 8224 8898
contact us

Why Wood Mackenzie?

Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk Analytics business, has been a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, empowering clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice.

We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

Our 500+ analysts are based in the regions they cover, cultivating an unrivalled depth of understanding to help clients accurately identify new opportunities, define their strategy and improve business performance.

At every stage, our teams readily collaborate and share their insight to provide an integrated perspective across entire industries. It is this unique and rigorous analytical approach that ensures we are recognised as the industry standard by the world’s most innovative organisations.