Commodity Market Report

Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

08 February 2018

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08 February 2018

Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

Report summary

In this No Carbon sensitivity, a future without any US federal carbon pricing effectively assumes a world in which federal climate change efforts are tabled and power sector carbon emissions are allowed to continue to grow unabated. However, given the current momentum in investment seen within US power & renewables markets, even without a carbon tax to incentivize further de-carbonization, power sector emissions grow relatively slowly throughout the outlook.

This No Carbon case represents the absence of any kind of federal carbon policy but maintains non-federal CO 2 cap-and-trade programs and regional CO 2 markets such as California-AB32, RGGI and Canadian initiatives
Removal of the Federal carbon tax assumptions leads to significant inter-fuel competition and altered plant dispatch dynamics post-2028

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This report contains:

can_decarbonization_trends_be_slowed_naprs_no_carbon_case_reports_h2_2017_pr.pdf

PDF 1.54 MB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_emission_prices_real_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 123.40 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_emissions_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 169.61 KB

naprs_lto_no_carbon_load_forecast_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 2.66 MB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_macroeconomics_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 108.54 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_supply_demand_energy_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 868.47 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_transmission_projects_in_base_case_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 96.15 KB
naprs_no_carbon_capacity_prices_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

XLSX 330.14 KB
naprs_no_carbon_prices_sparks_ihr_darks_nominal_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

XLSX 6.48 MB
naprs_no_carbon_prices_sparks_ihr_darks_real_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

XLSX 8.23 MB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_coal_retirements_northeast_1_31_2017.xlsx

XLSX 174.20 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_delivered_fuel_prices_nominal_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 508.63 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_delivered_fuel_prices_real_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 513.78 KB
naprs_lto_no_carbon_emission_prices_nominal_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

XLSX 123.42 KB
Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

ZIP 17.84 MB