Commodity Market Report

Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

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08 February 2018

Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

Report summary

In this No Carbon sensitivity, a future without any US federal carbon pricing effectively assumes a world in which federal climate change efforts are tabled and power sector carbon emissions are allowed to continue to grow unabated. However, given the current momentum in investment seen within US power & renewables markets, even without a carbon tax to incentivize further de-carbonization, power sector emissions grow relatively slowly throughout the outlook.

Table of contents

  • This No Carbon case represents the absence of any kind of federal carbon policy but maintains non-federal CO 2 cap-and-trade programs and regional CO 2 markets such as California-AB32, RGGI and Canadian initiatives
  • Removal of the Federal carbon tax assumptions leads to significant inter-fuel competition and altered plant dispatch dynamics post-2028

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This report contains:

  • Document

    can_decarbonization_trends_be_slowed_naprs_no_carbon_case_reports_h2_2017_pr.pdf

    PDF 1.54 MB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_emission_prices_real_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 123.40 KB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_emissions_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 169.61 KB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_load_forecast_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 2.66 MB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_macroeconomics_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 108.54 KB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_supply_demand_energy_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 868.47 KB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_transmission_projects_in_base_case_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 96.15 KB

  • Document

    naprs_no_carbon_capacity_prices_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 330.14 KB

  • Document

    naprs_no_carbon_prices_sparks_ihr_darks_nominal_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 6.48 MB

  • Document

    naprs_no_carbon_prices_sparks_ihr_darks_real_northeast_2_15_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 8.23 MB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_coal_retirements_northeast_1_31_2017.xlsx

    XLSX 174.20 KB

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    naprs_lto_no_carbon_delivered_fuel_prices_nominal_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 508.63 KB

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    naprs_lto_no_carbon_delivered_fuel_prices_real_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 513.78 KB

  • Document

    naprs_lto_no_carbon_emission_prices_nominal_northeast_2_7_2018.xlsx

    XLSX 123.42 KB

  • Document

    Can decarbonization trends be slowed?: Northeast long-term outlook H2 2017 No Carbon case

    ZIP 17.84 MB

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