Insight

Europe power long-term sensitivity: Impacts of wind and solar variability (October 2025)

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This insight explores the "weather sensitivity" of our latest outlooks for Europe’s major power markets. Against a background of sustained, high levels of investment in wind and solar generation, here we present the findings of eight sensitivity cases examining the up and downside risk to captured revenues from alternative within year wind, solar and hydro resource patterns. Despite marked differences in the hourly price formation between sensitivity cases, and a long-term shift in price formations, annual average prices remain closely aligned.

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    EPS 2025 Weather Sensitivity.pdf

    PDF 744.13 KB

  • Document

    EPS 2025 H1 Weather Sensitivity Datafile.xlsx

    XLSX 3.91 MB