Commodity Market Report
Malaysia power and renewables markets long-term outlook 2019
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Report summary
Key report themes: 1) The Malaysian government announced its third 500-MW large-scale solar (LSS3) tender in February 2019, with bidding to close in August. 2) Power market liberalisation moves faster than expected with the gas system operator set to be independent by this year. 3) The federal government agreed in principle to return Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd (SESB) to Sabah earlier this year. 4) We have reduced our generic coal capacity forecast by a total of 1,600 MW between 2025 and 2030.
Table of contents
- Energy Commission launches the third large-scale solar tender
- Power market liberalisation moves faster than expected
- Lower coal build post-2025 in our forecast
- Sabah electricity firm to be returned to Sabah
- Data summary
-
Energy policy
- Policy drivers
- Fuel mix
- Renewables
- Pricing
-
Malaysia power market regulation
- Generation
- Transmission
- Distribution and retail
- Malaysia power market value chain
-
Policy
- Renewables
- COP21 INDC target
-
Capacity and reserve margin
- Available capacity and reserve margin
- Peninsular Malaysia
- Sarawak
- Sabah
- Breakeven cost by technology
-
New-build economics by technology
- SRMC analysis – Peninsular Malaysia
-
Peninsular Malaysia power transmission infrastructure
- Power infrastructure – current
- Thailand link
- Singapore link
- Power infrastructure – map
- Power infrastructure – planned and possible
- Sumatra to Peninsular Malaysia
- Peninsular Malaysia to Singapore
-
East Malaysia power transmission infrastructure
- Power infrastructure – current
- Sarawak
- Sabah
- Power infrastructure – map
- Power infrastructure – planned and possible
- Sarawak
- Sabah
- Sarawak to West Kalimantan
- Sarawak to Brunei
- Sabah to North Kalimantan
- Power demand
-
Annual generation forecast
- Peninsular Malaysia
- East Malaysia
-
Plant utilisation (capacity factor)
- Peninsular Malaysia
- East Malaysia
- Sarawak
- Sabah
-
Transmission utilisation across regions
- Thailand link
- Singapore link
- West Kalimantan link
-
Captive power
- Captive power demand by region
- Current captive capacity
- End-user tariffs
- Average annual system short-run cost
- Breakeven cost forecast
- GDP sensitivity on gas demand (Peninsular Malaysia)
- Coal sensitivity on gas demand (Peninsular Malaysia)
Tables and charts
This report includes 46 images and tables including:
- Malaysia power available capacity
- Malaysia power market balance
- Malaysia gas demand by sector
- Key changes to analysis from H2 2018 publication
- GDP forecast – Malaysia
- Malaysia's energy policy and regulatory structure
- Feed-in tariffs
- Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
- New plant economics by technology (LRMC)
- Power sales growth, GDP growth and electricity intensity factor
- Power sales by region
- Peninsular Malaysia grid generation by fuel
- East Malaysia grid generation by fuel
- Peninsular Malaysia electricity prices
- Peninsular Malaysia’s average electricity prices
- Peninsular Malaysia average annual short-term generation costs by system and plant type
- Average end-user power breakeven cost (real 2015)
- GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
- Power demand sensitivity on gas
- Coal growth assumptions for high and low cases
- Coal demand sensitivity on gas in the power sector
- Major energy legislation
- Capacity: renewables vs non-renewables
- Generation: renewables vs non-renewables
- Capacity: renewables by fuel
- Generation: renewables by fuel
- COP21 INDC target
- Emissions in the power sector
- Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
- Existing and planned capacity
- Capacity by plant type and peak load
- Reserve margin by region
- Available capacity by region
- Peninsular Malaysia 2020 merit order
- Peninsular Malaysia 2030 merit order
- Peninsular Malaysia 2040 merit order
- Peninsular Malaysia power infrastructure
- East Malaysia power infrastructure
- Peninsular Malaysia annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
- Sarawak annual capacity factor (% utilisation)
- Sabah annual capacity factor (% utilisation)
- Power exports from Peninsular to Thailand and Singapore
- Power exports from Sarawak to West Kalimantan
- Malaysia captive power sales by region
- Peninsular Malaysia captive power by plant type (2014)
What's included
This report contains:
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