Commodity Market Report

Rising commodity prices continue to propel power prices: Northeast power and renewables April 2022 short-term outlook

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15 April 2022

Rising commodity prices continue to propel power prices: Northeast power and renewables April 2022 short-term outlook

Report summary

The second half of 2021 was marked by power prices surging on the back of strong year-on-year increases in natural gas prices. After winter 2022’s excitement was confined mostly to the northeast, gas price futures have taken off over the past month, creating upside potential across the country. With natural gas prices trading near $7/mmbtu for the next few months, expect volatility risk to remain high well into 2023. Over that same time period, the stack will continue its transition towards renewables as a large swath of coal capacity retires, primarily in PJM and MISO, while wind and solar projects are slated to come online in their stead. Features included in this short-term outlook: - Comments on natural gas fundamentals - Power prices impact from multiple gas price and demand scenarios - Highlights for some of the largest incoming new generators - Upcoming transmission projects to monitor

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This report contains:

  • Document

    North America power and renewables April 2022 short-term outlook_PR.pdf

    PDF 1.59 MB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 111.91 KB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Delivered Fuel Prices Real Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 148.09 KB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Load Forecast Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 183.24 KB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 1.30 MB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 2.85 MB

  • Document

    Short Term Outlook Short Term Fundamentals Northeast 4 11 2022.xlsx

    XLSX 313.00 KB