Commodity Market Report
Thailand retail fuels long-term outlook
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Report summary
Thailand's gasoline demand for road transport is projected to grow until 2036, while diesel demand is expected to peak in 2032, both driven by increasing car ownership and commercial freight movements. Post-peak, carbon-based fuel demand is anticipated to decline due to passenger fleet electrification, with hybrid and electric vehicles (EVs) reaching a proportion of approximately 62% in the total car fleet by 2050. Fuel prices in Thailand are liberalised and are published daily by the Thai Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO). The government uses an oil fund levy for subsidies, such as those for higher biofuel blends, and to control price volatility. The country has a network of around 29,000 service stations with an average throughput of around 0.94 million litres. The retail market has five major fuel retailing companies: OR (PTT), PTG, Bangchak (BCP), Shell, and SRPC (Caltex). Cumulatively, these companies account for over 93% of the overall fuel retail business by sales volume.
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