Insight

Beyond first oil: Norway's multi-billion barrel recovery opportunity

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Norway's recovery factors rank among the highest globally, with the country's largest fields pushing the limits of absolute recovery. Yet significant upside remains. Wood Mackenzie's Synoptic AI platform and expansive subsurface dataset quantify this opportunity. Improved recovery from existing fields could deliver up to 5 billion barrels of oil and over 500 bcm of gas. Higher recovery will not drive Norwegian output to new highs but will extend production plateaus and slow decline rates, continuing a trend observed over previous years. The analysis identifies pathways to achieve higher recovery and examines proven success cases across Norway.

Table of contents

    • What drives higher recovery factors in Norway?
  • Slides and key messages
  • Summary and context
  • How much more can Norway recover?
  • Recovery factor benchmarking
  • How to achieve higher recovery

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    Recovery factor methodologyOil & gas recovery upside volume for top 20 fieldsRecovery factor benchmarkingNorway production forecast with improved recovery upside

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Beyond First Oil Norways Multi Billion Barrel Recovery Opportunity Feb2026.pdf

    PDF 1.72 MB