Insight

East Africa's export pipeline decision: context and impact

16 May 2016

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16 May 2016

East Africa's export pipeline decision: context and impact

Report summary

Uganda’s crude oil will be exported via Tanzania following a decision taken at a presidential summit in mid-April. The route has a number of advantages for Uganda, but the outcome has wider implications for the future of onshore oil and gas development in East Africa. With a shared pipeline to the Kenya coast no longer an option, the partners in Kenya's South Lokichar development must now evaluate the economics of a standalone export solution. In this insight we examine the context and impact of the decision on the developments and key stakeholders in Uganda and Kenya.

Executive summary
Background and context of the pipeline decision
- The Ugandan and Kenyan onshore developments both require export solutions
- Three route options were discussed
- Rationale for the selection of the Tanzania route
- How does Tanzania stand to benefit?
Implications for Uganda and Kenya
- Impact on Uganda's Lake Albert development
- Impact on Kenya's South Lokichar development
- What does the decision mean for the Kenya partners?
Appendix
- Uganda and Kenya pipeline throughput