Deal Insight
ExxonMobil buys Pioneer for US$64.5 billion
Report summary
After months of rumours, ExxonMobil announced the acquisition of Permian powerhouse Pioneer Natural Resources for US$64.5 billion. Closely followed by Chevron's Hess deal, this is the largest upstream deal, in nominal terms, since Shell acquired BG for US$82 billion in 2015. Occidental's purchase of Anadarko for US$57 billion is the only other deal of similar scale over the last eight years. It is ExxonMobil's largest deal since its creation through Exxon's US$87 billion merger with Mobil in 1999. The acquisition will help shift ExxonMobil's global upstream portfolio down the cost curve. This is a deal driven by growth and optimisation rather than consolidating and cutting back - a trend that has characterised most recent tight oil M&A. The landmark move establishes ExxonMobil as the dominant operator in the world's premier tight oil play.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Transaction details
-
Upstream assets
- ExxonMobil plans to increase production and value via unique operational changes
- Details
-
Deal analysis
- Base case valuation
- Upside scenario aligned with ExxonMobil's target goals
- What's expensive for one (stock deal), isn't expensive for another
- Modelling assumptions
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Upsides and risks
- Upsides
- Risks
-
Strategic rationale
-
ExxonMobil
- Scale leadership: from Supermajor to Megamajor
- Tight oil leadership
- Boosting leading integration credentials
- Portfolio concentration impact
- Pioneer Natural Resources
- What next for consolidation?
-
ExxonMobil
- Oil & gas pricing and assumptions
Tables and charts
This report includes 14 images and tables including:
- Executive summary: Table 1
- Combined Permian leasehold
- Oil & gas pricing and assumptions: Table 1
- Oil & gas pricing and assumptions: Table 2
- Permian asset breakeven comparison
- Upstream assets: Table 1
- Permian Implied Long-Term Oil Price
- Deal analysis: Table 1
- Deal analysis: Table 2
- Deal analysis: Table 3
- Key assets: emissions intensity by operating cash margin (2024-2033)
- The Majors' global oil and gas production
- Combined drilling inventory
- 2023E Majors and Large Cap portfolio concentration by asset cash flow
What's included
This report contains:
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