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Offshore costs outlook H2 2026: Moderate offshore cost inflation expected through 2027 despite recent commodity-driven shock

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The Middle East conflict has triggered a commodity-driven inflation spike that is expected to moderate over time. Recent market softness has given way to stronger demand, suggesting a shorter-lived downturn and supporting our forecast of moderate offshore cost inflation through 2027.

Table of contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Wood Mackenzie Offshore Capital Cost Index: Middle East conflict introduces some inflation
  • Floating rig market tightening sets the stage for sustained day rate inflation
  • Drilling and completions (D&C) price shock
  • Subsea costs hold steady
  • Marine installation costs will continue to rise
  • Softening inflation for the facilities sector

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    Wood Mackenzie Offshore Capital Cost IndexFloating rig rate forecastOilfield services cost inflation for key drilling and completion categoriesSubsea cost indexTier 1 marine contractor EBIDA margin trend

What's included

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    Offshore costs outlook H2 2026: Moderate offshore cost inflation expected through 2027 despite recent commodity-driven shock

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