Oil and gas valuations – the risky outlook
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Risk and return
- Oil and gas – a myriad of risks
- Discount rates: when to use standard, WACC or risk-adjusted?
-
Risk adjusting assets in the Majors portfolios
- Using the standard NPV10 (nominal) rate
- Scenario 1: risking increases across the entire industry
- Scenario 2: oil is deemed riskier than gas
- Scenario 4: execution risks are elevated
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Appendix
- Risk categories
- Commodity price (market) risk
- Reservoir (reserves) risk
- Execution (and cost) risk
- Operational risk
- Carbon risk
- Country risk
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Oil and gas risks
- Undiscounted cash flow
- Net present value (10% discount rate)
- NPV at 10% and 15% discount rate
- Value loss going from NPV10 to NPV15
- NPV for country and execution risk
- Value loss for country and execution risk
- Summary table: value loss relative to NPV10
What's included
This report contains:
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