Company Report

Repsol corporate report

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Repsol is a pacesetter in pivoting to low carbon. Yet, unlike some European peers, the company has continued to invest in upstream. A new wave of oil projects will drive margins up and sustain production into the 2030s. The strategy strikes a balance between the UK Majors' initial pivot from Upstream and TotalEnergies' Integrated Power and Upstream dual growth approach. Successful execution will drive leading cash flow growth to support shareholder distributions well into the 2030s. The material and growing multi-energy business that will emerge will increase Repsol’s flexibility to adjust capital allocation to the pace of the energy transition. We expect the company to lean into Upstream during the next stage of portfolio development. But Repsol may need to embrace deeper structural change to unwind one of the most discounted ratings in our coverage.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • The Majors’ share price evolution
  • Benchmark: market premium/discount to Wood Mackenzie’s valuation
  • Resilience ratings: 1) IOC benchmarking; 2) Repsol ratings weighted by Dimension
  • Benchmark: Q1 2025 gearing (including operating leases) versus av. pre-buyback Brent cash flow breakeven 25-27
  • Wood Mackenzie’s forecast of cash inflows and outflows for Repsol
  • Strategic fit of Repsol’s portfolio
  • Wood Mackenzie's production outlook for Repsol
  • Wood Mackenzie's production growth benchmark (including economically viable)
  • Benchmark: % gas production
  • Evolution of operating cash flow
  • Evolution of Repsol’s downstream cash flow, capex, EBITDA and ROACE
  • Benchmark: European refining capacity vs net cash margin in 2025
  • 11 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Repsol corporate report

    PDF 1.28 MB