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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
China economic focus July 2022: how will China finance its recovery?
China’s GDP growth slowed to 0.4% year-on-year in the second quarter. With large-scale lockdowns coming to an end in June and China relaxing its tr...
China economic focus June 2022: will power shortage come again?
China is recovering from the Omicron lockdowns that occurred between March and May. Avoiding power cuts in this round of recovery has become the pr...
China economic focus March 2022: is the 5.5% GDP growth target achievable?
The Chinese government has set the country’s GDP growth target for 2022 at around 5.5%. The target surprised the market on the upside, and is also ...
China economic focus May 2022: a downside scenario
Under the ‘dynamic clearing’ policy, new Covid-19 outbreaks in H2 2022 and 2023 could further depress the Chinese economy. In May’s China Economic ...
China economic focus November 2021: potential disruption ahead
We forecast the Chinese economy to slow down from 8.1% GDP growth in 2021 to 5.4% in 2022. A few disruptions to economic activity will contribute t...
China economic focus November 2022: removing the two obstacles to growth
Covid restrictions and a recession in the property sector are the two biggest obstacles to China achieving GDP growth above 5% next year. However, ...
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