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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
China economic focus June 2023: local government debt at risk
China’s public debt level is at an alarming stage, with total government debt reaching 96% in 2022. The risks of a debt crisis vary across province...
China economic focus June 2024: challenges to car exports
China’s electric vehicle exports face rising trade barriers worldwide. The EU, US, Brazil and Turkey all added tariffs on EVs from China in 2023 an...
China economic focus March 2022: is the 5.5% GDP growth target achievable?
The Chinese government has set the country’s GDP growth target for 2022 at around 5.5%. The target surprised the market on the upside, and is also ...
China economic focus May 2022: a downside scenario
Under the ‘dynamic clearing’ policy, new Covid-19 outbreaks in H2 2022 and 2023 could further depress the Chinese economy. In May’s China Economic ...
China economic focus May 2023: a recovery without inflation
China’s inflation will remain low in 2023 as the country is facing an oversupply amid its economic recovery. The Chinese government has directed mu...
China economic focus May 2024: how to resolve excess supply
China is at the bottom of a business cycle with excess supply arising from overinvestment since 2016. However, the manufacturing and construction s...
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