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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
Green shoots of recovery in the EU: Could the post-Covid 19 recovery package accelerate the EU’s energy transition?
As Europe navigates the twin crises of Covid-19 and a severe economic downturn, attention is beginning to turn towards the recovery. To that end, t...
How long can Middle East governments withstand low oil prices?
This Insight presents our estimates of ‘fiscal breakevens’ for the major oil producing economies of the Middle East – Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Ara...
Global economic outlook H1 2021: the great rebound?
Covid-19 vaccination programmes are elevating expectations of a return to ‘normal’ for the global economy. Is 2021 to be the great rebound? After a...
Global economic outlook Q1 2022: soft landing
In this Insight, we outline the highlights and drivers of our macroeconomic outlook Q1 2022. The global economy is set for a soft landing in 2022 a...
Global economic outlook Q2 2022: war and inflation woes
The Russia/Ukraine war, rising inflation and China’s Covid-19 resurgence are dragging on the global economic recovery. We still envisage a soft lan...
Global economic outlook Q3 2021: industry strains in reopening surge
While the Covid-19 pandemic endures, the global economy is firmly in the recovery phase. We expect global GDP to bounce back 5.3% this year. But th...
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