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Macroeconomics, risk and global trends reports
How long can Middle East governments withstand low oil prices?
This Insight presents our estimates of ‘fiscal breakevens’ for the major oil producing economies of the Middle East – Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Ara...
Global economic outlook Q2 2022: war and inflation woes
The Russia/Ukraine war, rising inflation and China’s Covid-19 resurgence are dragging on the global economic recovery. We still envisage a soft lan...
US GDP growth by state: winners and losers to 2035
While resource producing states are suffering, non-resource states are enjoying robust growth – supported by low gasoline prices and improved house...
Q4 2016 Global economy: US resurgence, China resilience, Brexit defiance
After a difficult start to the year, the global economy has strengthened in the second half of 2016. A number of shocks hit the global economy stem...
China economic focus July 2021: slowing growth ahead
China’s economy will slow from the second half of 2021. Slower export growth, rising commodity prices, lacklustre infrastructure investment and exp...
Euro exchange rate outlook Q2 2016
With the ECB boosting its QE programme in March 2016 and the US hiking interest rates in December, fundamental support for the euro remains weak. W...
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