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2026 outlook

Metals & mining: what to look for in 2026

Turbulence, trade challenges and technology are set to be key themes for metals and mined commodities in 2026. Our experts share their predictions for how that might play out.

Get complimentary reports from our 2026 Outlook series, including:

  • Metals and mining: what to look for in 2026 
  • Base and precious metals  
  • Battery raw materials  
  • Bulk commodities
  • Steel alloys 

Zhifei Liu

Senior Research Analyst – Copper Markets, Metals & Mining

Zhifei is focused on copper demand in China where she monitors and forecasts both short-term and long-term demand.

Latest articles by Zhifei

View Zhifei Liu's full profile

Charles Cooper

Research Director, Head of Copper Research

Charles is a mining economist specialising in commodity markets and sustainability analytics.

Latest articles by Charles

View Charles Cooper's full profile

Expect twists, turns and transitions across the metals and mining world in 2026. This year is set to be shaped by key geopolitical events, technology, disruption – and cautious investment.  

Geopolitical forces will dominate, with China's 15th Five-Year Plan and US mid-term elections affecting trade, growth and development on a global scale. The energy transition will evolve and continue, and the full potential of AI efficiencies will become clearer. Oversupply will keep most prices subdued, with some standout exceptions.  

Volatility will dominate conversations as firms explore for new opportunities. 

Drawing on unique insight from Wood Mackenzie Lens Metals & Mining, we’ve set out our view of the key themes to watch in the year ahead – along with a few wildcards. This includes:  

  1. Two hemispheres, one turbulent global economy 
  2. Rewired and recharged: tech developments reshape expectations 
  3. Growth with guardrails 

Fill in the form at the top of the page for your complimentary copy of Metals and mining: what to look for in 2025

 

Plus, scroll down for our view on how key themes will play out for different metals and mined commodities, from aluminium to zinc. 

Also in this series of complimentary reports:

Base & precious metals

What's on the cards in the year ahead for aluminium, copper, gold, lead, nickel and zinc? Where will the biggest opportunities and challenges lie for each? 

Read our experts' predictions of the key themes to watch. 

Battery raw materials

Lithium prices rebounded strongly after reaching cyclical lows in mid-2025. As the rally extends into 2026, a critical question emerges: can this momentum be sustained?

Plus, how is record defence spending reshaping the strategic importance of cobalt? How will China make use of its dominant position in rare earth supply during 2026? How will the graphite market resolve a complex paradox?

Read our take on these questions and more. 

Bulk commodities

Steel trade flows enter a new phase. A mix of familiar challenges and emerging shifts for coal. And a phase of gradual yet significant transition for iron ore.

Read our predictions for the year ahead for steel, iron ore, metallurgical and thermal coal.  

Steel alloys

2026 will be a policy-driven reset for the steel alloy markets. Across bulk and noble alloy, markets are being shaped less by consumption and increasingly by government intervention. 

Our experts pick out five defining questions for steel alloy markets in 2026.