Name: Chinese polyolefins resin exports – opportunistic or fundamental?
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 136297
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Author: Wood Mackenzie

Insight 16 April 2021

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As China becomes self-sufficient and adds significant capacities, the country will actively participate in the international markets, particularly for polypropylene. The industry witnessed a glimpse of Chinese export capabilities in recent global supply constraints in Feb/Mar. For example, China exported 400 kt of polypropylene, which is an increase of 500% and 300% during the same period in 2019 and 2020.</div>
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<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Executive summary
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<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Background: Why did Chinese exports of polyethylene and polypropylene increase in Q1-2020?
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Will China become an exporter of polyolefins?
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<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Will robust demand growth impede Chinese ability to export polypropylene resin over the next five years?
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<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Learning from other self-sufficient polymers
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<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        What can Chinese producers do?
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        Where will Chinese exports go?
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         <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Global HDPE prices spike in March, CFR China prices lower than CIF Middle East</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Global polypropylene prices rise significantly in North America and Europe</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Chinese polyolefins export in large volume to India, Southeast Asia and Latin America, and small volume to Africa and South Asia</li>
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        <ul class="list list--bullets panel-toggle" id="5bdaeb9db77a4632aff92b419f9440ba">
            <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Capacity addition in the next five years will increase Chinese polypropylene self-sufficiency to 130%</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Chinese polypropylene overcapacity will be more severe than polyethylene overcapacity</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">China imports PVC and PS to meet domestic demand</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Small assets occupied a large percentage of Chinese polypropylene capacity</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Regional polypropylene deficit</li>
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<p class="font-regular" >Chinese polyolefins resin exports – opportunistic or fundamental?</p>
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