China coal short-term outlook August 2016
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Report summary
After a 14-month high of 15 Mt of seaborne thermal coal imports set in June, the record was broken again with a 1 Mt increase in July. The 16 Mt of imports once again shows the strong influence of the 276 working days policy and the price competitiveness of international supply.
Table of contents
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Executive summary
- Key market data
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Prices
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Tight supply and seasonal high demand are driving prices upward
- Key thermal coal prices – history and forecast, US$/t nominal
- Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal
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Tight supply and seasonal high demand are driving prices upward
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Demand
- Sultry days bolster thermal coal demand
- Steel demand from construction sector supports metallurgical coal
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Supply
- Possibility of relaxing 276 working days policy affects market sentiment
- Seaborne thermal coal imports keep increasing
Tables and charts
This report includes 11 images and tables including:
- Executive summary: Table 1
- Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
- Demand: Image 2
- Demand: Image 3
- Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
- Demand: Image 5
- Demand: Image 6
- Supply: Image 1
- Supply: Image 2
- Prices: Image 1
- Prices: Image 2
What's included
This report contains:
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