Commodity market report
China coal short-term outlook August 2016
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Report summary
After a 14-month high of 15 Mt of seaborne thermal coal imports set in June, the record was broken again with a 1 Mt increase in July. The 16 Mt of imports once again shows the strong influence of the 276 working days policy and the price competitiveness of international supply.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
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Executive summary
- Key market data
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Prices
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Tight supply and seasonal high demand are driving prices upward
- Key thermal coal prices – history and forecast, US$/t nominal
- Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal
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Tight supply and seasonal high demand are driving prices upward
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Demand
- Sultry days bolster thermal coal demand
- Steel demand from construction sector supports metallurgical coal
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Supply
- Possibility of relaxing 276 working days policy affects market sentiment
- Seaborne thermal coal imports keep increasing
Tables and charts
This report includes 11 images and tables including:
Images
- Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
- Demand: Image 2
- Demand: Image 3
- Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
- Demand: Image 5
- Demand: Image 6
- Supply: Image 1
- Supply: Image 2
- Prices: Image 1
- Prices: Image 2
Tables
- Executive summary: Table 1
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