Commodity Market Report

China coal short-term outlook August 2016

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07 September 2016

China coal short-term outlook August 2016

Report summary

After a 14-month high of 15 Mt of seaborne thermal coal imports set in June, the record was broken again with a 1 Mt increase in July. The 16 Mt of imports once again shows the strong influence of the 276 working days policy and the price competitiveness of international supply.

Table of contents

    • Key market data
    • Tight supply and seasonal high demand are driving prices upward
      • Key thermal coal prices – history and forecast, US$/t nominal
      • Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill, US$/t nominal
    • Sultry days bolster thermal coal demand
    • Steel demand from construction sector supports metallurgical coal
    • Possibility of relaxing 276 working days policy affects market sentiment
    • Seaborne thermal coal imports keep increasing

Tables and charts

This report includes 11 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • Monthly coal-fired generation, TWh
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Monthly throughput at Huanghua, Mt
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Supply: Image 1
  • Supply: Image 2
  • Prices: Image 1
  • Prices: Image 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    cms china short term market report data August 2016.xls

    XLS 1.88 MB

  • Document

    China coal short-term outlook August 2016

    PDF 403.25 KB

  • Document

    China coal short-term outlook August 2016

    ZIP 1.66 MB