China coal short-term outlook January 2020: coronavirus increases supply tightness
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Table of contents
- Low port inventory underpins prices in the near term
- Coronavirus outbreak will keep QHD price above RMB580/t in February
- Coronavirus outbreak harms domestic coking coal supply but will support prices
- How will the coronavirus outbreak impact thermal coal demand in February?
- Steel and metallurgical coal demand also affected in the short run
- NBS reports total coal production at 37.5 Bt in 2019
- Domestic output impacted by the coronavirus
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Key thermal coal prices: history and forecast (US$/t)
- Hard coking coal price arbitrage at Tangshan steel mill (US$/t nominal)
- Monthly coal-fired power generation (TWh)
- Monthly hydro-power generation (TWh)
- Monthly throughput at Qinhuangdao port (Mt)
- Monthly throughput at Huanghua port (Mt)
- Monthly hot metal production (Mt)
- Monthly metallurgical coke production (Mt)
- Thermal coal supply (Mt)
- Metallurgical coal supply (Mt)
What's included
This report contains:
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